GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner

Name: Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner
End: 2026-09-20T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.19K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner

Vol

$1.19K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.19K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.19K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Vladislav Khovalyg win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Vladislav Khovalyg win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?	Poly	96%
Will Yegor Chistyakov win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?	Poly	2%
Will Aziat Chanzan win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?	Poly	1%
Will Lodoy-Damba Kuular win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?	Poly	1%
Will Artysh Irgit win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$1.19K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tuva on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a conse

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tuva Gubernatorial Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 20, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tuva on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a conse

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tuva on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round. "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $50.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Vladislav Khovalyg win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 20, 2026): Vol $511
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lodoy-Damba Kuular win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 20, 2026): Vol $169
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yegor Chistyakov win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 20, 2026): Vol $263
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Artysh Irgit win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 20, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Aziat Chanzan win the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 20, 2026): Vol $47
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics