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T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Vol

PM $712.11

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 4.5% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes4.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $712.11

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX (SPCX), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both TMUS and SPCX or their subsidiaries. An announcement by TMUS or SPCX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TMUS and SPCX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiTech
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

PM $1.49M · K 734.1K contracts

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?

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PM Yes 68%Rules differK Yes 78%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 38%Rules differK Yes 43.5%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 33%Rules differK Yes 32%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?

SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?

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2 mktsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
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Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models

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+27 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google in the US 2026

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+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

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How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)Yes 98.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
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Will The Diplomat: Season 4 be Top US Netflix Show on Oct 26, 2026?Yes 8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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