Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models

Total Volume

$24.48K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models

Vol

$24.48K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $24.48K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $24.48K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	30%
Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	24%
Will Hailey Bieber be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	23%
Will Dua Lipa be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	21%
Will Kendall Jenner be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	20%
Will Ariana Grande be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	20%
Will Alex Consani be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	15%
Will Margot Robbie be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	14%
Will A’ja Wilson be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will Beyoncé be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will Bella Hadid be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will Miley Cyrus be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will Jennie be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will Zoë Kravitz be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	11%
Will Sabrina Carpenter be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will Nicole Kidman be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will Teyana Taylor be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will Florence Pugh be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will Tyla be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Sydney Sweeney be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Selena Gomez be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Jennifer Lawrence be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Charli xcx be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Jenna Ortega be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Chappell Roan be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Venus Williams be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Coco Gauff be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Billie Eilish be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Pamela Anderson be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$24.48K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2027 If it is announced that X is on the cover of any issue of Vogue, US, published in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close once an official announcement is made. This market will close once an official announcement is made.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If it is announced that X is on the cover of any issue of Vogue, US, published in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close once an official announcement is made. This market will close once an official announcement is made.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If it is announced that Zoë Kravitz is on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close once an official announcement is made."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zoë Kravitz be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Venus Williams be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tyla be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $36
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Teyana Taylor be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $272
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sydney Sweeney be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Selena Gomez be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Sabrina Carpenter be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $872
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Pamela Anderson be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $28
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Nicole Kidman be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Miley Cyrus be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Margot Robbie be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Kendall Jenner be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Jennie be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Jenna Ortega be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jennifer Lawrence be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Hailey Bieber be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Florence Pugh be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Dua Lipa be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $927
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Coco Gauff be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Chappell Roan be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Charli xcx be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Billie Eilish be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Beyoncé be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $346
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Bella Hadid be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Ariana Grande be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Alex Consani be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $170
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will A’ja Wilson be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models

Volume$24.48K

Markets30

30 of 30

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

If it is announced that Lady Gaga is on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close once an official announcement is made.

KALSHI

Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.0¢No 70.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

If it is announced that Taylor Swift is on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close once an official announcement is made.

KALSHI

Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

If it is announced that Rihanna is on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close once an official announcement is made.

KALSHI

Will Hailey Bieber be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Hailey Bieber be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

If it is announced that Hailey Bieber is on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close once an official announcement is made.

KALSHI

Will Dua Lipa be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Dua Lipa be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

If it is announced that Dua Lipa is on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close once an official announcement is made.

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Average Yes Price

12¢

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Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models

Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models

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Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models

Markets (30)

Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Hailey Bieber be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Hailey Bieber be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Dua Lipa be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Dua Lipa be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models

Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Rihanna be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Hailey Bieber be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Hailey Bieber be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Dua Lipa be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Will Dua Lipa be on the cover of any issue of Vogue (US) published in 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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