Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City

Total Volume

$7.00

Events

Markets

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Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City

Vol

$7.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Libertad Loja wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Libertad Loja wins	Kalshi	48%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	29%
Guayaquil City wins	Kalshi	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$7.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

LIB vs GUA (Oct 17) If X wins the Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** LIB vs GUA (Oct 17)

If X wins the Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Libertad Loja wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Guayaquil City wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City

Volume$7.00

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Libertad Loja wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Libertad Loja wins

If Libertad Loja wins the Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to th

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to

KALSHI

Guayaquil City wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Guayaquil City wins

If Guayaquil City wins the Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to t

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Next Market Deadline

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Oct 19, 2026, 4:30 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/HCANok" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City"></iframe>

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Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City

Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City

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Libertad Loja wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City

Markets (3)

Libertad Loja wins

Libertad Loja wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Guayaquil City wins

Guayaquil City wins

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Libertad Loja wins

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Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City

Libertad Loja wins

Libertad Loja wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Guayaquil City wins

Guayaquil City wins

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