Name: Which company has best AI model end of June?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

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Which company has best AI model end of June? | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.38M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.38M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	62%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	21%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	9%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$3.38M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, r

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, April 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which company has best AI model end of June?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (76 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, r

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.12M
* **Total Liquidity:** $280.7K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.55)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $333.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $155.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $198.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $283.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $329.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $23.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $13.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $30.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $607.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $144.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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