
$2.54K
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1 market tracked

No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
![]() | Poly | 26% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to "Leviatan Esports" if Leviatan Esports win against FURIA Esports in the named LoL match in the CBLOL Cup Regular Season, scheduled for January 17 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win against Leviatan Esports in the LoL match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source
Prediction markets currently price a Leviatan Esports victory at 26%, implying the market assigns roughly a 1 in 4 chance to this outcome. Conversely, this prices FURIA Esports as the clear favorite with an implied 74% probability. A 26% chance suggests the market views a Leviatan win as a significant upset possibility, but firmly positions FURIA as the expected winner. This pricing is based on thin liquidity of approximately $3,000, indicating lower trader confidence and potential for price volatility.
The primary factor is the established competitive hierarchy within the CBLOL region. FURIA Esports is a perennial contender with consistent playoff appearances and international experience, while Leviatan, though a respectable organization, is historically viewed as a mid-table squad. This best-of-one format introduces volatility, but the market is heavily weighting FURIA's stronger roster pedigree and historical performance. Furthermore, early-season form in tournaments like the CBLOL Cup often reinforces pre-existing power rankings until proven otherwise, which currently favor FURIA.
A significant shift could occur with the release of final starting rosters or any last-minute player substitutions, particularly if a key FURIA player were sidelined. The biggest catalyst will be in-game performance during the match itself. Given the low liquidity, a major early bet on the Leviatan side could rapidly shift the quoted probability. Since this is a best-of-one, an unexpected draft strategy or a single critical mistake could decide the match, meaning the live odds during the game may be more volatile than the pre-match pricing suggests.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$2.54K
1
1
This prediction market focuses on a specific League of Legends (LoL) match in the CBLOL Cup Regular Season, a professional esports tournament for the Brazilian competitive scene. The market resolves based on the outcome of a Best-of-One (BO1) match between Leviatan Esports and FURIA Esports, scheduled for January 17 at 3:00 PM Eastern Time. The CBLOL Cup is a significant preseason tournament that precedes the main CBLOL Split, serving as a competitive warm-up and a showcase for roster changes. This particular match is notable as it features two organizations with distinct regional backgrounds. Leviatan Esports is a Chilean organization making a strategic entry into the Brazilian league, while FURIA Esports is a powerhouse Brazilian brand with deep roots in the local esports ecosystem. The interest in this market stems from analyzing early-season form, the performance of newly assembled rosters, and the regional rivalry narrative between an established Brazilian entity and an ambitious Chilean challenger. Bettors and analysts use such markets to gauge team strength, meta adaptations, and player synergy at the start of the competitive year.
The historical context of this match is rooted in the evolution of the League of Legends Continental League (LCL) and CBLOL ecosystems. The CBLOL Cup was introduced as a formal preseason tournament, with its 2024 iteration beginning on January 15. Historically, Brazilian League of Legends has been dominated by organizations like LOUD, paiN Gaming, and INTZ, with FURIA Esports establishing itself as a consistent contender since its entry into the league. FURIA has participated in multiple CBLOL splits, building a domestic fanbase through its performances in events like the CBLOL Split and the Brazilian Championship. Leviatan Esports represents a newer wave of international investment. Originally a Chilean organization prominent in VALORANT, Leviatan expanded into LoL by acquiring a spot in the LLA, the Latin American league, in 2022. Their move into CBLOL for the 2024 season marks a significant organizational expansion and a direct challenge to the established Brazilian order. Past encounters between Chilean and Brazilian teams in international play, such as at the World Championship play-in stage, have often favored the Brazilian squads, adding a layer of regional rivalry to this organizational clash.
This match matters significantly for the competitive integrity and economic landscape of Brazilian esports. A strong showing by Leviatan validates the league's attractiveness to international investment and can stimulate further cross-regional organizational movement, potentially increasing the overall capital and competitiveness of CBLOL. Conversely, a dominant FURIA victory reinforces the strength of homegrown Brazilian structures and player development pipelines. For the players involved, performance in early-season matches like this can set the tone for their entire split, influencing team morale, fan support, and future contract valuations. The outcome also provides critical data for analysts, scouts, and other teams, helping to map the early meta and power rankings. Beyond the immediate result, the match is a barometer for the health of the CBLOL ecosystem, demonstrating viewer engagement and commercial interest at the start of a new competitive year.
The CBLOL Cup 2024 Regular Season is currently underway, having started on January 15, 2024. Both Leviatan Esports and FURIA Esports have played their initial matches in the tournament. The specific match in question is scheduled as part of the regular season round-robin stage. All teams are fielding their starting rosters for the 2024 competitive season, making these the first official games for these specific team lineups. The latest developments involve analyzing the initial performances of both teams in their opening Cup matches to form predictions about their form, strategic approaches, and player readiness for this direct confrontation.
The CBLOL Cup is the official preseason tournament for the Brazilian Championship of League of Legends (CBLOL). It features all ten CBLOL teams competing in a round-robin format followed by playoffs, serving as a competitive warm-up before the main CBLOL Split begins.
The match will be broadcast live on the official CBLOL channels, primarily on their YouTube and Twitch streams. These broadcasts feature Portuguese commentary and are the primary source for official live coverage of the event.
No, Leviatan Esports is originally a Chilean esports organization. For the 2024 season, they acquired a spot in the Brazilian CBLOL league, marking their entry into this more competitive regional ecosystem from their previous base in the Latin American League (LLA).
According to the prediction market rules, if the game is postponed, the market will remain open and unresolved until the match is officially completed. The resolution will then be based on the outcome of the rescheduled game.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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