GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

Name: Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
End: 2026-12-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$8.77K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

Vol

$8.77K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $8.77K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.77K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Poly	67%
Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?	Poly	17%
Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Poly	9%
Will 2026 rank between 13th and 15th among the highest domestic box office years?	Poly	6%
Will 2026 rank below 15th among the highest domestic box office years?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$8.77K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-high

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.

2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-high

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market on"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.96)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $743
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will 2026 rank between 13th and 15th among the highest domestic box office years?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $289
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will 2026 rank below 15th among the highest domestic box office years?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $286
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture