Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?

Name: Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.22K

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Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?

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Polymarket

markets · $14.22K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.22K

100%

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1 market tracked

Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?	Poly	48%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$14.22K

Volume

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About This Event

On March 17, sitting Minnesota State Senator Justin Eichorn was arrested for allegedly soliciting sex from a 16 year old. You can read more about that here: https://minnesotareformer.com/2025/03/18/gop-state-sen-justin-eichorn-arrested-for-suspicion-of-soliciting-sex-with-a-16-year-old-girl/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rojas is found guilty on any charge relating to soliciting a minor sexual activity in this case by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2025 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** On March 17, sitting Minnesota State Senator Justin Eichorn was arrested for allegedly soliciting sex from a 16 year old. You can read more about that here: https://minnesotareformer.com/2025/03/18/gop-state-sen-justin-eichorn-arrested-for-suspicion-of-soliciting-sex-with-a-16-year-old-girl/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rojas is found guilty on any charge relating to soliciting a minor sexual activity in this case by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $118
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 123.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $14.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/HWmrrI" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?"></iframe>

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Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?

Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?

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Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)