Batman Part II: Delayed past Feb. 18, 2028
PM $6.1K · K 1.6K contracts
2
2
Batman Part II: Delayed past Feb. 18, 2028
PM $6.1K · K 1.6K contracts
2
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 43% on Polymarket, and the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Feb 18, 2028 at 40%.
Polymarket
- Yes43%
Kalshi
- Feb 18, 202840%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $6.1K · K 1.6K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Past Feb 18, 2028 If The Batman Part II's release is delayed past Feb. 18, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is a Kalshi market titled "Batman Part II: Delayed past Feb. 18, 2028" in the Entertainment category [1]. The source states: "If The Batman Part II's release is delayed past Feb. 18, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes." The question is therefore whether the release is delayed beyond that date, not whether the film is released on a specific day.
The source also includes an early close condition: "This market will close and expire early if the event occurs." The excerpt repeats this sentence, and it does not describe how the provider would determine that the event occurred [1].
The contract's end date in the saved market record is 2028-02-25T15:00:00.000Z. The source excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied." These two entries conflict, so this review does not treat 2028-02-25 as a confirmed closing time. Readers should check the provider's current listing before relying on any close date.
Reading the snapshot
The saved market shows a Yes price of 0.53 and a No price of 0.47 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The record was observed at 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z and retrieved at 2026-10-29T09:37:35.467Z [1]. This describes the saved state at that time. It does not show what the market is quoting now.
The two prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot. This review does not explain why the prices are where they are, and no volume or trader information is supplied, so the prices cannot be read as liquidity or agreement among participants.
The sample covers one market from one platform. The coverage record shows one included market, with partialSample set to false [1]. Because only one contract appears, no comparison with other platforms or other wording is possible here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include any news about the film's release schedule, so this review cannot say whether a delay has been announced or is expected. It also does not establish how the early close condition would be applied in practice, or what the provider's final resolution would be.
The source states that the sample covers all saved markets for this event, but it does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Any contract on a different date or platform would need its own rules and snapshot before being compared.
References
- Kalshi: Batman Part II: Delayed past Feb. 18, 2028. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This market is a Kalshi contract tied to the question of whether The Batman Part II will be delayed past February 18, 2028. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to Yes if the film's release is delayed past that date [1]. The contract is therefore a yes or no question about a release timing condition, not a forecast of a specific release date. The February 18, 2028 date is a threshold written into the rules. It is not an announced release date or a scheduled event date. The rules also include an early close provision. The market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. Read together, the rules mean that the contract can end before its listed end time if the delay condition is met. The retrieved provider record for this event shows the status as active at the time of retrieval, and it does not list an end time [1]. Any reading of the contract should rely on the provider's rules at the time of use, since the retrieved record is a snapshot. The supplied evidence does not establish whether the film has been delayed, what its current release plans are, or why any change might have occurred. Nothing in the retrieved provider rules addresses those questions, so the contract should be understood only as a description of its resolution terms.
Historical Context
Wikipedia maintains a list of films whose theatrical releases were affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, including films with delayed releases [3]. That list is general background on how release delays have been documented in the past. The supplied evidence does not connect that list to The Batman Part II or to the timing question in this contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single condition: whether the release of The Batman Part II is delayed past February 18, 2028 [1]. Its usefulness as a reference depends on reading the exact resolution language. The rules resolve the market to Yes if the delay condition is met, so a Yes outcome corresponds to a delay beyond that threshold and a No outcome corresponds to the condition not being met under the rules [1]. Because the early close provision allows the market to end once the event occurs [1], the timing of resolution may differ from the listed end time. Readers should confirm the final rules and resolution status with the provider rather than assuming a result from the price alone.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for this market to resolve to Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if The Batman Part II's release is delayed past February 18, 2028 [1].
Does the February 18, 2028 date mean the film is scheduled for that day?
No. The contract rules use February 18, 2028 as the threshold for the delay condition [1]. The supplied evidence does not establish an announced release date for the film.
Will this market close before its listed end time?
The rules state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The retrieved provider record does not supply a listed end time [1].
Does the supplied evidence confirm whether the film has been delayed?
No. The retrieved provider rules describe the resolution condition but do not report whether a delay has happened [1]. The Wikipedia list of 2025 American films does not address this question [2].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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