Name: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC
End: 2026-04-23T02:30:00.000Z

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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?	Poly	67%
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC end in a draw?	Poly	20%
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-22?	Poly	14%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 23, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 22, 2026 between San Jose Earthquakes and Austin FC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026
If San Jose Earthquakes wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $16.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.00M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 23, 2026): Vol $13.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 23, 2026): Vol $727
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 23, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC

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Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC

Markets (3)

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?

Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC end in a draw?

Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC end in a draw?

Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-22?

Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-22?

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Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?

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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?

Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC end in a draw?

Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC end in a draw?

Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-22?

Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-22?

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