Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

Name: NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
End: 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.08K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

Vol

$4.08K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.08K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.08K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	88%
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	4%
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$4.08K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 16, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.39)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $163
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $886
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $295
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $559
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $90
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $270
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $265
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $89
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $542
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $471
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $451
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics