Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Harvard Crimson vs. Penn Quakers (W)
Total Volume
$0.00
Events
1
Markets
1
Harvard Crimson vs. Penn Quakers (W)
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $0.00
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Harvard Crimson vs. Penn Quakers (W)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 51% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
51%
Top Probability
$0.00
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the WBB game between Harvard Crimson and Penn Quakers on January 17 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets currently price the Harvard Crimson women's basketball team with a narrow 51% implied probability to defeat the Penn Quakers. This essentially represents a toss-up, with the slightest edge given to the home team. The 51% chance suggests the market views this Ivy League matchup as highly competitive, with no clear favorite emerging from trader sentiment. The "Uncertain" tag on Polymarket accurately reflects this near-even split.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
Two primary factors are creating this coin-flip market. First, Ivy League women's basketball is historically characterized by parity, especially in conference play where teams are deeply familiar with each other's systems. Second, specific team performance this season is likely a major driver. If both teams have comparable conference records, or if Penn's defense effectively matches up against Harvard's offensive strengths, it logically compresses the odds. The minimal home-court advantage priced in for Harvard suggests traders believe travel and venue will play a negligible role in the outcome.
What Could Change These Odds
The odds are most sensitive to last-minute information regarding player availability. A key injury or illness report for either team's starting lineup or a major contributor would immediately shift the probability significantly. Additionally, while the market has priced the game as a pure toss-up, a sharper movement of 5-10 percentage points could occur if professional bettors identify a mispricing based on deeper statistical analysis not yet reflected in the public market. The closing hours before tip-off will be the most volatile as all available information gets fully incorporated into the price.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.