Market snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?

Reported volume

K 21.8K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?

Vol

K 21.8K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is 4 at 52.5%.

Kalshi

452.5%
5 or more34%
316.5%
21%
11%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

6 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (4)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (4)	Kalshi	52.5%
How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (5 or more)	Kalshi	34.0%
How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (3)	Kalshi	16.5%
How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (2)	Kalshi	1.0%
How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (1)	Kalshi	1.0%
How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (0)	Kalshi	0.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 21.8K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

In Nov 2026 If Donald Trump makes exactly X trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. X single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Nov 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Nov 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Nov 2026 count individually. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?
Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 21.8K contracts
Coverage: 6 of 6 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (5 or more)
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXLAGOVISITCOUNT-26NOV-5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlagovisitcount-26nov
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Dec 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 12.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 34.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump makes exactly 5 or more trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Nov 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Nov 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Nov 2026 count individually. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (4)
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXLAGOVISITCOUNT-26NOV-4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlagovisitcount-26nov
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Dec 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump makes exactly 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Nov 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Nov 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Nov 2026 count individually. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (3)
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXLAGOVISITCOUNT-26NOV-3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlagovisitcount-26nov
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Dec 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.5K contracts
Outcome Yes: 16.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump makes exactly 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Nov 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Nov 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Nov 2026 count individually. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (2)
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXLAGOVISITCOUNT-26NOV-2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlagovisitcount-26nov
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Dec 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Nov 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Nov 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Nov 2026 count individually. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (1)
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXLAGOVISITCOUNT-26NOV-1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlagovisitcount-26nov
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Dec 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 188.31 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Nov 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Nov 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Nov 2026 count individually. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: How many times will Donald Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? (0)
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXLAGOVISITCOUNT-26NOV-0; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlagovisitcount-26nov
Observed: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Dec 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 102.52 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Nov 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Nov 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Nov 2026 count individually. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics