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Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?

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Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?

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11 markets tracked

Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	65%
Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	31%
Will Jensen Huang be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	26%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	24%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	23%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	23%
Will Xi Jinping be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	20%
Will Giorgia Meloni be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	13%
Will Vladimir Putin be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	9%
Will James Fishback be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

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65%

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About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If X has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Reporting also includes reporting on other sources, e.g. if The New York Times report that Bloomberg reported a given person visited, or that Donald Trump said someone has visited, that would also be encompassed by the Payout Cri

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If X has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Reporting also includes reporting on other sources, e.g. if The New York Times report that Bloomberg reported a given person visited, or that Donald Trump said someone has visited, that would also be encompassed by the Payout Cri

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Xi Jinping has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Reporting also includes"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Xi Jinping be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Vladimir Putin be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mark Zuckerberg be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jensen Huang be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will James Fishback be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Giorgia Meloni be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Benjamin Netanyahu be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

If Ron DeSantis has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Reporting also includ

KALSHI

Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.0¢No 69.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

If Jeff Bezos has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Reporting also includes

KALSHI

Will Jensen Huang be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Jensen Huang be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

If Jensen Huang has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Reporting also includ

KALSHI

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

If Benjamin Netanyahu has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Reporting also

KALSHI

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

If Volodymyr Zelenskyy has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Reporting also

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/fURinb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?"></iframe>

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Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?

Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?

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Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?

Markets (11)

Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Jensen Huang be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Jensen Huang be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?

Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Ron DeSantis be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Jeff Bezos be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Jensen Huang be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Jensen Huang be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reported to visit Mar-a-Lago before Jan 1, 2027?

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