Name: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
End: 2026-01-18T21:00:00.000Z

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Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)	Poly	72%
Series: Most kills?	Poly	52%
Game Handicap: VP (-1.5)	Poly	52%
Series: Virtus.pro Kill Handicap (-16.5)	Poly	52%
Series: Virtus.pro Kill Handicap (-17.5)	Poly	52%
Series: Virtus.pro Kill Handicap (-18.5)	Poly	51%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner	Poly	51%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner	Poly	51%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs  Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 18, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Virtus.pro and  Pipsqueak+4 in the ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 18 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against  Pipsqueak+4.

This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if  Pipsqueak+4 win the match against Virtus.pro.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Virtus.pro and  Pipsqueak+4 in the ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 18 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 1 against  Pipsqueak+4.

This market will resolve t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $27
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs  Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Virtus.pro: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [ Pipsqueak+4: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs  Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $27
  DATA: [Virtus.pro: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [ Pipsqueak+4: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs  Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Virtus.pro: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [ Pipsqueak+4: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Series: Virtus.pro Kill Handicap (-18.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Virtus.pro: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [ Pipsqueak+4: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Series: Virtus.pro Kill Handicap (-16.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Virtus.pro: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [ Pipsqueak+4: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Series: Virtus.pro Kill Handicap (-17.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Virtus.pro: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [ Pipsqueak+4: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Series: Most kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Virtus.pro: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [ Pipsqueak+4: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game Handicap: VP (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Virtus.pro: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [ Pipsqueak+4: 48.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

2d 6h remaining

Jan 18, 2026 9:00 PM

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Average Yes Price

53¢

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Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)

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