Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Name: Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?
End: 2026-12-04T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$17.25K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Vol

$17.25K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $17.25K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $17.25K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	72%
Will "Stay" by The Kid LAROI (with Justin Bieber) be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	53%
Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	47%
Will "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	42%
Will "Mo Bamba" by Sheck Wes be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	33%
Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	30%
Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	26%
Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	23%
Will "Look at Me!" by XXXTENTACION be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	21%
Will "XO Tour Llif3" by Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	20%
Will "Rockstar" by Post Malone, 21 Savage be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	17%
Will "As It Was" by Harry Styles be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	14%
Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	13%
Will "Shape of You" by Ed Sheeran be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Poly	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

72%

Top Probability

$17.25K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is confirmed to be included as a playable track on any in-game radio station within Grand Theft Auto VI's base game, as of its initial release on November 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A song counts as included if it can be heard by tuning into any radio station in the base game at launch. Music heard on the title screen or as background/ambient music during gameplay (i.e. not selectable via an in-game radio station)

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 4, 2026 (54 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is confirmed to be included as a playable track on any in-game radio station within Grand Theft Auto VI's base game, as of its initial release on November 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A song counts as included if it can be heard by tuning into any radio station in the base game at launch. Music heard on the title screen or as background/ambient music during gameplay (i.e. not selectable via an in-game radio station) 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is confirmed to be included as a playable track on any in-game radio station within Grand Theft Auto VI's base game, as of its initial release on November 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A song counts as included if it can "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.78)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "XO Tour Llif3" by Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $506
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "Stay" by The Kid LAROI (with Justin Bieber) be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $901
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $560
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will "Look at Me!" by XXXTENTACION be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $546
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will "Rockstar" by Post Malone, 21 Savage be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $408
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will "Shape of You" by Ed Sheeran be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $220
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will "As It Was" by Harry Styles be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will "Mo Bamba" by Sheck Wes be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $122
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture