Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
PM $54.81
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1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
PM $54.81
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1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $54.81
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET" and is listed on Polymarket [1]. The provider's rule says the market "will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD data stream, and the excerpt states that the market is about the price "according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets" [1]. A comparison with a HYPE price from a different source would therefore measure something else.
The listed end time is 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z [1]. This corresponds to 11:00 AM ET on that date, which matches the title's window. The title describes the measurement window, while the listed end time is a separate provider field.
Reading the snapshot
The saved outcomes are Up at 0.0005 and Down at 0.9995 [1]. These values come from an observation at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:04:20.854Z [1]. They are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. At that moment, the saved Down price was far above the saved Up price, but that describes the record, not a forecast or a current market view.
The evidence contains one market for this provider event. The coverage record shows 1 of 1 markets included and no partial sample [1]. This establishes that the saved event is complete as provided, but it does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome. No volume or trader count is supplied, so nothing here indicates liquidity or how many participants hold a view.
What remains uncertain
The listed end time is August 5, 2026, which is earlier than the October 15, 2026 observation date, yet the provider status reads "active" [1]. The evidence does not show whether the contract has resolved, what the Chainlink readings were at the start and end of the window, or what caused the saved price. A current, dated source would be needed to address those points.
Comparing this contract with HYPE markets on other platforms is only meaningful if their source and window match. Otherwise the prices answer different questions.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract belongs to a family of short-window price questions. The market in this record is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET" and is categorized as Crypto [1]. It asks whether the Hyperliquid price at the end of a specified five-minute range will be greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. If so, the market resolves to "Up". Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream [1]. The contract states that it concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream, not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because two venues can show different Hyperliquid prices at the same moment, and the contract is settled only on the named feed. The record lists the listed end time as 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z [1]. That is a date written in the contract rules. It does not describe an announcement or a live event, and it should not be read as indicating when the market was traded or settled. The provider status recorded in the saved source was active [1]. The saved market snapshot showed an "Up" price of 0.0005 and a "Down" price of 0.9995 [1]. These figures were observed at the time captured in the record, and they are prices in a snapshot. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the Hyperliquid price, as reported in the Chainlink HYPE/USD data stream, across one specified window of time [1]. It compares the price at the end of the range with the price at the beginning. A tie resolves to "Up" because the rule uses greater than or equal to [1]. Because the window is short and the feed is specific, the contract isolates one price comparison rather than a general view of the asset.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price does this contract use to decide the outcome?
It uses the Chainlink HYPE/USD data stream, and the contract says it is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
What happens if the price is unchanged across the window?
The market resolves to "Up" when the end price is greater than or equal to the beginning price, so an unchanged price resolves to "Up" [1].
Does the listed end time mean the market was settled at that time?
The record lists an end time of 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z in the contract data [1]. That value is part of the contract rules and does not by itself confirm when or how the market was resolved.
Do the displayed prices show how likely each outcome is?
The saved snapshot showed Up at 0.0005 and Down at 0.9995 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as a forecast.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.