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What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
Vol

PM $183.5K

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Events

1

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Markets

8

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is $1.50–$1.75T at 44.6%.

Polymarket

  1. $1.50–$1.75T44.6%
  2. $1.75–$2.00T25%
  3. $2.00–$2.25T8%
  4. $1.25–$1.50T7%
  5. $2.25–$2.50T3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $183.5K

Reported volume · provider units

8

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $5.96M
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 93%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 69.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 60.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $2.04M
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 28%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 21.1%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 16.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

PM $90.8K · K 41.2K contracts

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Kalshi: Will Morgan Stanley serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 81%Rules differK Yes 82%

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Kalshi: Will Goldman Sachs serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 17.2%Rules differK Yes 14%

Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Kalshi: Will Citigroup serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

PM $4.9K
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?Yes 39.5%
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 38%
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Yes 38%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic’s valuation end of November 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of November 2026?

PM $440
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of November 2026?Yes 39%
Will Anthropic’s valuation be less than $500B at the end of November 2026?Yes 38%
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

PM $409.2K
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Yes 23%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes 22.4%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Yes 14.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

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