GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

Name: What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
End: 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$34.29K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

Vol

$34.29K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $34.29K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $34.29K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Poly	54%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?	Poly	39%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Poly	9%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Poly	2%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?	Poly	1%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$34.29K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing pri

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (483 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing pri

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business.

The IPO price will be the final offering "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $34.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.71)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $13.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $8.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance