Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

San Francisco vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns

Total Volume

$68.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

San Francisco vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns

Vol

$68.40K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $68.40K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $68.40K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns	Kalshi	66%
Sam Darnold: 1+ passing touchdowns	Kalshi	64%
Sam Darnold: 2+ passing touchdowns	Kalshi	22%
Brock Purdy: 3+ passing touchdowns	Kalshi	21%
Sam Darnold: 3+ passing touchdowns	Kalshi	9%
Brock Purdy: 4+ passing touchdowns	Kalshi	6%
Sam Darnold: 4+ passing touchdowns	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$68.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

SF vs SEA (Oct 11) If Brock Purdy records X passing touchdowns in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Brock Purdy in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If Brock Purdy is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Brock Purdy takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** San Francisco vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** SF vs SEA (Oct 11)

If Brock Purdy records X passing touchdowns in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Brock Purdy in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If Brock Purdy is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Brock Purdy takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Brock Purdy records 4+ passing touchdowns in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Brock Purdy in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled fo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $68.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Brock Purdy: 4+ passing touchdowns
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $15.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Brock Purdy: 3+ passing touchdowns
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $20.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Sam Darnold: 4+ passing touchdowns
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $854
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Sam Darnold: 3+ passing touchdowns
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Sam Darnold: 2+ passing touchdowns
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Sam Darnold: 1+ passing touchdowns
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $11.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

San Francisco vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns

Volume$68.40K

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns

If Brock Purdy records 2+ passing touchdowns in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Brock Purdy in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled fo

KALSHI

Sam Darnold: 1+ passing touchdowns

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Sam Darnold: 1+ passing touchdowns

If Sam Darnold records 1+ passing touchdowns in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled fo

KALSHI

Sam Darnold: 2+ passing touchdowns

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Sam Darnold: 2+ passing touchdowns

If Sam Darnold records 2+ passing touchdowns in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled fo

KALSHI

Brock Purdy: 3+ passing touchdowns

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Brock Purdy: 3+ passing touchdowns

If Brock Purdy records 3+ passing touchdowns in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Brock Purdy in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled fo

KALSHI

Sam Darnold: 3+ passing touchdowns

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Sam Darnold: 3+ passing touchdowns

If Sam Darnold records 3+ passing touchdowns in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the San Francisco vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled fo

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

27¢

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San Francisco vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns

San Francisco vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns

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Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns

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Educational Context

Events (1)

San Francisco vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns

Markets (7)

Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns

Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 1+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 1+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 2+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 2+ passing touchdowns

Brock Purdy: 3+ passing touchdowns

Brock Purdy: 3+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 3+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 3+ passing touchdowns

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns

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San Francisco vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns

Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns

Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 1+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 1+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 2+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 2+ passing touchdowns

Brock Purdy: 3+ passing touchdowns

Brock Purdy: 3+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 3+ passing touchdowns

Sam Darnold: 3+ passing touchdowns

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