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MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?

Name: MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?
End: 2026-02-03T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$88.07K

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MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $88.07K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $88.07K

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroSt

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve b"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $88.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.3K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 13.92)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 3, 2026): Vol $88.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/I1WSR0" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?"></iframe>

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MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?

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MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)