GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	33%
Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	13%
Will Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	9%
Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	8%
Will Brooke Rollins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	6%
Will John Ratcliffe be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	5%
Will Chris Wright be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	5%
Will Lee Zeldin be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Linda McMahon be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	4%
Will Marco Rubio be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Michael Kratsios be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jamieson Greer be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Scott Bessent be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Sean Duffy be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Doug Collins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	3%
Will Mike Waltz be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	2%
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	2%
Will Russell Vought be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	2%
Will Markwayne Mullin be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	2%
Will Scott Turner be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	1%
Will Doug Burgum be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

33%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

During Trump's term If X is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave, such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached, after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name i

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** During Trump's term

If X is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave, such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached, after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name i

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Susie Wiles is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Scott Turner be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sean Duffy be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Scott Bessent be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Russell Vought be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Mike Waltz be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Marco Rubio be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Markwayne Mullin be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Michael Kratsios be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Lee Zeldin be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Linda McMahon be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Kelly Loeffler be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will John Ratcliffe be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Jamieson Greer be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Doug Collins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Doug Burgum be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Chris Wright be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Brooke Rollins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Volume$0.00

Markets21

21 of 21

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time,

KALSHI

Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

If Pete Hegseth is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the

KALSHI

Will Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

If Susie Wiles is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the

KALSHI

Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

If Howard Lutnick is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then t

KALSHI

Will Brooke Rollins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brooke Rollins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

If Brooke Rollins is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then t

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

5¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/I4UnpL" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Markets (21)

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Brooke Rollins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Brooke Rollins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Brooke Rollins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Will Brooke Rollins be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget