Name: Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
End: 2026-03-29T12:00:00.000Z

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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29? | PredictPedia

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11 markets tracked

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?	Poly	100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 29?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 29?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 29?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on March 29?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 29?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 29?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on March 29?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on March 29?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on March 29?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on March 29?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 29, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 29, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" c"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $60.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $28.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $587
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

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9¢

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Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?

Markets (11)

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on March 29?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on March 29?

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on March 29?

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