Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Brazil inflation rate in October

Total Volume

$4.11K

Events

Markets

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Brazil inflation rate in October

Vol

$4.11K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.11K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.11K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.20% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.00% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.90% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.40% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.50% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.60% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	86%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.70% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	65%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.80% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	39%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.90% in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	24%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$4.11K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In Oct 2026 If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above X in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Brazil inflation rate in October
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Oct 2026

If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above X in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above 4.90% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.90% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.80% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.70% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.60% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $313
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.50% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.40% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $700
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.20% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.00% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.90% in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $900
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Brazil inflation rate in October

Volume$4.11K

Markets11

11 of 11

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KALSHI

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHISports

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?

If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above 4.30% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.20% in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHISports

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.20% in Oct 2026?

If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above 4.20% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHISports

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Oct 2026?

If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above 4.10% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.00% in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHISports

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.00% in Oct 2026?

If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above 4.00% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.90% in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHISports

Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.90% in Oct 2026?

If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above 3.90% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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81¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/I9bquh" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Brazil inflation rate in October"></iframe>

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Brazil inflation rate in October

Brazil inflation rate in October

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Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?

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Events (1)

Brazil inflation rate in October

Markets (11)

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.20% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.20% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.00% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.00% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.90% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.90% in Oct 2026?

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Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Brazil inflation rate in October

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.30% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.20% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.20% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.00% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.00% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.90% in Oct 2026?

Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.90% in Oct 2026?

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