Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3

Total Volume

$15.23K

Events

Markets

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Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3

Vol

$15.23K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $15.23K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.23K

100%

Kalshi leads

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9 markets tracked

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	89%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	84%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	73%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 35 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	54%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 40 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	44%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 45 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	28%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 50 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	16%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 55 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 60 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$15.23K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026 If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above X f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above X f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 60 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 60 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 55 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 50 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 45 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 40 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $583
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 35 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $805
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 17, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3

Volume$15.23K

Markets9

9 of 9

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KALSHI

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

KALSHI

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.0¢No 16.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

KALSHI

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

KALSHI

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 35 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 35 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 35 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

KALSHI

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 40 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 40 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 40 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

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44¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ID2lGo" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3"></iframe>

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Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

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Events (1)

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3

Markets (9)

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 35 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 35 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 40 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 40 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

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Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

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Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 35 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 35 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 40 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 40 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?

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