This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?

Name: What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
End: 2026-06-30T17:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$913.89K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?

Vol

$913.89K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $913.89K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $913.89K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?	Poly	28%
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?	Poly	26%
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?	Poly	15%
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	Poly	13%
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	Poly	10%
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	Poly	4%
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?	Poly	4%
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

28%

Top Probability

$913.89K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is publi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is publi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the m"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $913.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $78.9K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 11.58)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $222.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $48.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $51.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $46.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $56.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $51.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $244.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $192.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance