Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026

Total Volume

$882.65

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026

Vol

$882.65

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $882.65

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $882.65

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?	Kalshi	74%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1680K?	Kalshi	74%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1710K?	Kalshi	51%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1700K?	Kalshi	51%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1760K?	Kalshi	50%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1750K?	Kalshi	50%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1740K?	Kalshi	50%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1730K?	Kalshi	50%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1720K?	Kalshi	50%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1670K?	Kalshi	50%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1660K?	Kalshi	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$882.65

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

the week ending Oct 3, 2026 If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Oct 3, 2026. The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified we

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** the week ending Oct 3, 2026

If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Oct 3, 2026. The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified we

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 is at least 

1760K, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Emp"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $883
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1760K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1750K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1740K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1730K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1720K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1710K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $280
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1700K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $268
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $172
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1680K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1670K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1660K?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $141
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026

Volume$882.65

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

KALSHI

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHISports

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?

If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 is at least 1690K, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Emp

KALSHI

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1680K?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHISports

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1680K?

If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 is at least 1680K, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Emp

KALSHI

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1710K?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHISports

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1710K?

If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 is at least 1710K, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Emp

KALSHI

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1700K?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHISports

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1700K?

If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 is at least 1700K, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Emp

KALSHI

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1760K?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHISports

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1760K?

If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 is at least 1760K, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Emp

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

54¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/IS6WYV" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026

Markets (11)

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1680K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1680K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1710K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1710K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1700K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1700K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1760K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1760K?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1690K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1680K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1680K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1710K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1710K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1700K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1700K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1760K?

Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 3, 2026 be at least 1760K?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget