What will American Airlines say during their next earnings call?
K 724.13 contracts
1
14
What will American Airlines say during their next earnings call?
K 724.13 contracts
1
14
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Chicago / O’Hare at 88%.
Kalshi
- Chicago / O’Hare88%
- Record87.5%
- Premium (3+ times)84%
- Basic Economy77%
- Flagship Suite74%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 724.13 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
14
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Jan 28, 2027 If X is said by any American Airlines Group Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next American Airlines Group Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the American Airlines Group Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the American Airlines Group Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
These contracts ask whether a specific word or phrase will be said during American Airlines' next earnings call. The rules state that the market resolves to Yes if the phrase is said by "any American Airlines Group Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next American Airlines Group Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A" [1]. Plural and possessive forms of the phrase count, but "grammatical/tense inflections" do not [1]. Resolution relies on video of the call, and if Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus, transcripts from the news publications listed in the contract are used [1].
The event title refers to a call "On Jan 28, 2027" [1], but the listed market end time in this snapshot is 2027-04-28T13:30:00.000Z [1]. The source excerpt also states "Listed end time: not supplied." These dates are contract details, not confirmed event dates, and the evidence does not explain the difference.
Reading the snapshot
The data was observed at 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T21:38:24.511Z [1]. These are snapshot times, so the prices describe that moment only and are not live quotes or executable prices.
The sample is partial. The saved event has 14 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The selection favors higher finite Yes prices, so the two omitted markets cannot be assumed to have lower prices, and the included set should not be treated as the full field.
Within the 12 included contracts, quoted Yes prices range from 0.88 for the Chicago / O'Hare wording to 0.125 for the Iran / Middle East wording [1]. Several titles use different qualifiers, such as "(Premium (3+ times))" at 0.835 and "(Holiday)" at 0.47 [1]. Each title is a separate contract with its own wording, so the prices should be read individually rather than averaged or ranked as one comparable group.
Prices alone do not show why a market is priced as it is, and the evidence does not report trading volume or trader counts.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the call's actual content, any statement from the company, or the resolution outcome. Because this is a single-platform snapshot, it does not support cross-platform comparisons or arbitrage claims. Whether a phrase will be said on the call remains unresolved in the supplied evidence.
References
- Kalshi: What will American Airlines say during their next earnings call?. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a mention contract tied to American Airlines Group Inc. earnings calls. Under the provider's rules, a contract resolves to Yes if its specified word is said by any American Airlines Group Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer portion [1]. The event asks what the company will say, and each contract in the group is labeled with a different term, so each one is judged separately [1]. The rules define what counts. The exact word or phrase counts, as do its plural or possessive forms. Grammatical or tense inflections do not count [1]. Resolution is based on video of the call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using video, the rules say transcripts of the call will be used, according to the news publications listed in the contract [1]. The contract also closes and expires early if the event occurs [1]. The rules refer to Jan 28, 2027 [1]. That date appears in the contract wording and is not an announced date for the call. The market records in this snapshot list an end date of April 28, 2027. Neither date establishes when the call will actually take place or when the contract will close in practice.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specified word or phrase is said during American Airlines Group Inc.'s next earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q and A [1]. Because the rules count exact matches and their plural or possessive forms while excluding tense and grammatical variants, the wording of each term determines what would resolve it [1]. Prices in the market record are snapshots taken at the observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Each contract's price reflects its own term, so differences between terms are not, by themselves, an opportunity to trade against another contract. The market record also reports volume, but volume is not a measure of liquidity or of how many people are trading.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a mention for this contract?
A mention counts when the specified word or phrase is said by any American Airlines Group Inc. representative, including the call operator, during the live earnings call or official broadcast, including Q and A [1]. The exact word or phrase counts, along with its plural or possessive forms. Grammatical or tense inflections do not count [1].
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution uses video of the earnings call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus from video, transcripts of the call are used according to the news publications listed in the contract [1].
Does the contract close early?
Yes. The provider's rules state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
Do the prices show the chance that a word will be said?
No. The prices are snapshots recorded at a specific observation time. They are not executable quotes and are not verified probabilities. The market record covers only part of the event's contracts, so it should not be read as a full ranking of outcomes.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
What will United Airlines say during their next earnings call?
K 403.36 contracts
What will American Express say during their next earnings call?
K 12 contracts
What will Klarna say during their next earnings call?
K 448 contracts
What will Coherent say during their next earnings call?
K 821.69 contracts
What will Clear say during their next earnings call?
K 1.5K contracts
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
K 71.0K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
