What will American Express say during their next earnings call?
K 12 contracts
1
14
What will American Express say during their next earnings call?
K 12 contracts
1
14
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Platinum (3+ times) at 92.5%.
Kalshi
- Platinum (3+ times)92.5%
- NII / Net Interest Income92.5%
- Millennial89%
- Lounge87.5%
- NFL76.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 12 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
14
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Jan 29, 2027 If X is said by any American Express Company representative, including the operator of the call, during the next American Express Company live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of American Express Company earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of American Express Company earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks, "What will American Express say during their next earnings call?" [1] Each market in this sample is a separate Yes or No question about whether a specific word or phrase is said. The rules state: "If X is said by any American Express Company representative, including the operator of the call, during the next American Express Company live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes." [1]
Wording matters for resolution. The payout criteria count "The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word," but do not count "Grammatical/tense inflections." [1] Resolution relies on video of the call, and transcripts are used if a consensus cannot be reached. [1]
Reading the snapshot
The market data was observed on 2026-10-23 and retrieved on 2026-10-29. These figures describe a saved snapshot, not live trading conditions. [1]
The sample includes 12 of 14 markets from one Kalshi event. The two omitted markets are not shown, so they should not be assumed to have lower prices. Among the included markets, Yes prices range from 0.055 for the Stablecoin market to 0.975 for the NII / Net Interest Income market. [1] Each price applies only to its own word or phrase. Comparing the NFL market at 0.735 with the Basel market at 0.125 compares different questions, not competing outcomes of a single bet. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
On dates, the market data lists an endDate of 2027-01-21T12:30:00.000Z, but the source excerpt states "Listed end time: not supplied." [1] The contract text includes "On Oct 23, 2026," which is a date in the contract rules and should not be read as a confirmed event date. The rules also say, "This market will close and expire early if the event occurs." [1]
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether any listed word was said on the call, so no resolution is reported. It also does not show current prices, current status, or any explanation for price levels. Volume and trader counts are not supplied, so these snapshots cannot be used to judge liquidity or how many participants agree. The sample comes from one platform, so no cross-platform comparison is made.
References
- Kalshi: What will American Express say during their next earnings call?. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract is a mention market tied to a future American Express earnings call. The contract asks whether a specified word or phrase, given as X in the rules, will be said by any American Express Company representative, including the call operator, during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer session. If it is said, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The contract text names October 23, 2026 as the call date in its title and rules, but that date appears in the contract wording itself and is not confirmed here as the date the call took place or as an announced schedule [1]. Resolution works from the call video. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using video, transcripts of the call are used, according to the news publications listed in the contract [1]. The payout rules count the exact word or phrase, along with its plural or possessive form. Grammatical or tense inflections do not count [1]. The contract also states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. Each phrase in this event is a separate contract with its own price. The sampled phrases cover a range of subjects, from financial terms such as net interest income and Basel to consumer and brand references. Because each contract depends on its own word, a higher or lower price on one phrase says nothing about whether another phrase is more likely to be spoken. The contract rules also state that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company [1]. The underlying company is American Express Company, which the Wikipedia excerpt describes as an American bank holding company and multinational financial services corporation that specializes in payment cards. The company is headquartered at 200 Vesey Street in Lower Manhattan [2]. Wikipedia material is background only and does not confirm current company events.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific word or phrase is spoken during one defined event, an American Express live earnings call or official broadcast, including Q and A [1]. It is a question about language used in a scheduled corporate communication rather than about the company's financial results directly. Traders and readers can use the contract wording to see exactly which speech counts, which word forms qualify, and how the outcome is checked against video or transcripts [1]. Prices on these contracts are market snapshots and reflect the market view at the observation time, not a confirmed probability of the phrase being said [1].
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a qualifying mention?
The exact word or phrase counts, as do its plural or possessive forms. Grammatical or tense inflections do not count [1].
Who can trigger a Yes outcome?
Any American Express Company representative, including the operator of the call, can trigger Yes if the word or phrase is said during the live earnings call or official broadcast, including Q and A [1].
How is the outcome determined?
The contract uses the video of the earnings call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using video, transcripts of the call are used, according to the news publications listed in the contract [1].
Does the contract close early?
Yes. The contract states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
Is Kalshi connected to American Express?
The contract states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
What will Clear say during their next earnings call?
K 1.5K contracts
What will American Airlines say during their next earnings call?
K 724.13 contracts
What will Coherent say during their next earnings call?
K 821.69 contracts
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
K 71.0K contracts
What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?
K 1.0K contracts
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?
K 3.6K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
