Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Name: Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
End: 2026-10-25T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$921.62K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Vol

$921.62K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $921.62K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $921.62K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Poly	61%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Poly	41%
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Poly	0%
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Poly	0%
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Poly	0%
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Poly	0%
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Poly	0%
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Poly	0%
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Poly	0%
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

61%

Top Probability

$921.62K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vo

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2026 (15 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election.

Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vo

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election.

Electoral list"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $921.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $857.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.08)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $439.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $11.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $457.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics