Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Vol

PM $81.4K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 3% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $81.4K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Danish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Royal Danish Navy and other branches of the Danish Armed Forces are considered part of Denmark’s military. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiTech
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?

Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?

PM $164.5K · K 1.5K contracts

Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 27%

Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 25%

Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 22.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

PM $3.49M
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 4.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

PM $1.42M
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

PM $559.3K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

PM $20.39M · K 4.02M contracts

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 9.6%

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?

Kalshi: Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Dec 1, 2026)

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

K 3.91M contracts
Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 45.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 39.5%
Will Pedro Sánchez leave Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market