Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Name: Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki
End: 2026-10-19T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$89.45

Events

Markets

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Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Vol

$89.45

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $89.45

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $89.45

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki	Poly	57%
Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki	Poly	56%
Jinan: Completed Match: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki	Poly	52%
Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	52%
Set 2 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki	Poly	50%
Game Spread: Facundo Acosta (-2.5) vs Shintaro Mochizuki (+2.5)	Poly	50%
Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	50%
Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	48%
Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	48%
Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	45%
Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	40%
Facundo Acosta vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	39%
Set Handicap: Facundo Acosta (-1.5) vs Shintaro Mochizuki (+1.5)	Poly	36%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$89.45

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Facundo Acosta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 day

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Shintaro Mochizuki.

This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Facundo Acosta.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 day

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Shintaro Mochizuki.

This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Moch"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $89
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $89
  DATA: [Facundo Acosta: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Shintaro Mochizuki: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jinan: Completed Match: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Facundo Acosta: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [Shintaro Mochizuki: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Facundo Acosta: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Shintaro Mochizuki: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Facundo Acosta vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Acosta vs. Mochizuki: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Facundo Acosta (-1.5) vs Shintaro Mochizuki (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Facundo Acosta: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [Shintaro Mochizuki: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Facundo Acosta (-2.5) vs Shintaro Mochizuki (+2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Facundo Acosta: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Shintaro Mochizuki: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Volume$89.45

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Jinan: Completed Match: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Completed Match: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

POLYMARKET

Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

POLYMARKET

Facundo Acosta vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Facundo Acosta vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under"

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Igx57X" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki"></iframe>

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Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

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Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Markets (16)

Jinan: Completed Match: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Jinan: Completed Match: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Set 2 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Set 2 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Facundo Acosta vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Facundo Acosta vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

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Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Jinan: Completed Match: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Jinan: Completed Match: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Set 2 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Set 2 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Facundo Acosta vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Facundo Acosta vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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