Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

OpenAI IPO by...?

Name: OpenAI IPO by...?
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.05M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

OpenAI IPO by...?

Vol

$3.05M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.05M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.05M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?	Poly	37%
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?	Poly	21%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

37%

Top Probability

$3.05M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a co

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** OpenAI IPO by...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (262 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a co

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.06M
* **Total Liquidity:** $48.1K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 21.96)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.05M
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech

OpenAI IPO by...?

Volume$3.05M

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

POLYMARKETTech

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

POLYMARKETTech

Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢

POLYMARKETTech

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

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Next Market Closes

Calculating time remaining…

Jul 01, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC

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Average Yes Price

20¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/IiJ9TC" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="OpenAI IPO by...?"></iframe>

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OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

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Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

OpenAI IPO by...?

Markets (3)

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?

Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

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Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

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OpenAI IPO by...?

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?

Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?

Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

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