Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Norway rate decision in November

Total Volume

$13.74K

Events

Markets

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Norway rate decision in November

Vol

$13.74K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $13.74K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.74K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?	Kalshi	85%
Will Norges Bank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?	Kalshi	13%
Will Norges Bank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?	Kalshi	1%
Will Norges Bank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?	Kalshi	1%
Will Norges Bank cut more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$13.74K

Volume

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About This Event

Nov 5, 2026 meeting If Norges Bank takes the action of X more than 25bps at its November monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate chan

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Norway rate decision in November
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Nov 5, 2026 meeting

If Norges Bank takes the action of X more than 25bps at its November monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate chan

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Norges Bank takes the action of maintain current rate at its November monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Norges Bank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $7.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Norges Bank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Norges Bank cut more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Norges Bank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $789
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Norway rate decision in November

Volume$13.74K

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?

If Norges Bank takes the action of maintain current rate at its November monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes

KALSHI

Will Norges Bank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Norges Bank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

If Norges Bank takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its November monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the p

KALSHI

Will Norges Bank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Norges Bank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

If Norges Bank takes the action of cut 1-25bps at its November monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the pr

KALSHI

Will Norges Bank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Norges Bank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

If Norges Bank takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its November monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes

KALSHI

Will Norges Bank cut more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Norges Bank cut more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

If Norges Bank takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its November monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes t

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Norway rate decision in November

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Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?

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Events (1)

Norway rate decision in November

Markets (5)

Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank cut more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank cut more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

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Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Norway rate decision in November

Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank maintain the current rate at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank cut 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank cut more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

Will Norges Bank cut more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?

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