$179.03
1
9
$179.03
1
9
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for April 6 at 12:00 PM ET.
The leading prediction for this Serie A match suggests a roughly 3 in 4 chance that the game will see more than 1.5 total goals scored. This means traders collectively believe it is significantly more likely than not that at least two goals will be scored by the combined teams. A 73% probability indicates strong, but not absolute, confidence in a higher-scoring outcome.
Two main factors are likely driving this prediction. First, Juventus, while often defensively solid, has shown vulnerability at home this season, with several recent matches at the Allianz Stadium ending with multiple goals. Second, Genoa’s matches frequently feature goals at both ends. They are not a defensive powerhouse and have managed to score in many of their away fixtures, even in losses. The historical context of this fixture also supports the forecast. The last five meetings between these two clubs in Turin have all finished with two or more total goals, a trend the market is betting will continue.
The main event is the match itself on Saturday, April 6. The only developments that could shift predictions before then would be significant team news. Key updates to watch for are the official team sheets released about an hour before kickoff, which confirm which star players are starting or are injured. A major defensive player for either side being ruled out would likely increase the probability of the "Over" hitting. Conversely, news of a key attacker being unavailable could slightly lower the odds.
For major soccer leagues like Serie A, prediction markets on total goals are generally quite reliable, often matching or exceeding the accuracy of bookmakers' odds. These markets efficiently aggregate global knowledge about team form, tactics, and historical trends. However, the main limitation here is the relatively small amount of money wagered on this specific niche market. Lower trading volume can sometimes make the odds more sensitive to a few large bets rather than pure crowd wisdom, so the 73% figure should be seen as a strong indicator, not a guarantee.
Prediction markets assign a 73% probability to the Juventus vs. Genoa match having over 1.5 total goals. This price indicates a strong expectation for at least two goals, though it is not seen as a near-certainty. The market is trading exclusively on Polymarket with minimal volume, reflecting speculative interest rather than heavy capital commitment ahead of the Serie A fixture.
The primary driver is Juventus's offensive form against mid-table defenses. In their last five league matches, Juventus scored multiple goals in three, demonstrating consistent scoring capability. Genoa’s defensive record is mixed. They conceded two or more goals in four of their last ten away matches, including a 3-2 loss to direct competitor Torino. Historical head-to-head data supports this. The last three meetings between these clubs produced 2, 3, and 2 total goals, consistently exceeding the 1.5 threshold. The market effectively prices in the continuation of this trend, weighing Juventus’s attacking quality against Genoa’s vulnerability on the road.
Team news in the days before kickoff will be critical. An injury to a key Juventus attacker like Dusan Vlahovic or Federico Chiesa could significantly dampen goal projections and shift the odds. Conversely, a confirmed defensive absence for Genoa would likely push the probability higher. Match context also matters. If Juventus secures a top-four position before this match, they might rotate players, potentially reducing offensive intensity. The current 73% price assumes standard competitive conditions. Any deviation from that, reported in pre-match press conferences, will cause immediate repricing in this low-liquidity market.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic focuses on additional betting markets for the Serie A football match between Juventus FC and Genoa CFC, scheduled for April 6 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time. Unlike standard match outcome markets, 'more markets' typically include specific propositions such as total goals, individual player performance metrics, exact scorelines, and in-game events like the timing of the first goal or the number of yellow cards. These markets allow participants to wager on more granular aspects of the game beyond simply which team wins. The match is part of the 31st round of the 2023-2024 Serie A season, with Juventus competing for a Champions League qualification spot and Genoa positioned in the mid-table. Prediction markets on this event aggregate crowd-sourced forecasts on these various outcomes, providing a financialized gauge of collective expectation about the match's specific details. Interest stems from Juventus's status as a historic Italian powerhouse and Genoa's reputation as a resilient, often unpredictable opponent, making the ancillary match events particularly compelling for analysts and bettors. The timing in early April is also significant as the Serie A season enters its decisive final phase, where every result carries amplified weight for league standings and European qualification.
The football rivalry between Juventus and Genoa is one of the oldest in Italian football, dating back to their first competitive meeting in 1903. Juventus, founded in 1897, and Genoa, founded in 1893, are two of the country's most historic clubs. Genoa won the first nine Italian Football Championships, but Juventus eventually became the nation's most successful club with 36 official Serie A titles. The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Juventus's favor. In the modern Serie A era since 1929, Juventus has consistently dominated this fixture, particularly in Turin. For example, in the last ten Serie A meetings at Juventus's home ground prior to the 2023-2024 season, Juventus won nine and drew one. This historical dominance informs prediction market odds, creating a strong baseline expectation for Juventus success in various match outcome markets. Genoa's most recent victory at Juventus in Serie A was a 3-2 win in October 1991, a fact often cited to highlight the difficulty of the task for the visiting team. The historical context sets a precedent that influences more nuanced markets, such as the likelihood of a Juventus victory by multiple goals or Genoa managing to score.
Beyond the immediate sporting contest, prediction markets for this match function as a real-time information aggregation mechanism. The prices in markets for specific events, like the number of corners or the timing of a substitution, reflect the collective intelligence of participants synthesizing data on team form, tactical setups, and player fitness. This has economic implications for the global sports betting industry, which relies on accurate pricing of such derivatives. For clubs, the performance metrics tracked by these markets can indirectly influence commercial valuations, player transfer fees, and sponsorship appeal. A high-scoring, entertaining match can boost brand value, while a defensively masterful one reinforces a team's identity. For fans and analysts, these markets provide a structured framework for dissecting a match beyond the final score, deepening engagement with the tactical nuances of Serie A. The outcomes can also affect the financial positions of thousands of individual bettors and trading firms that participate in prediction markets globally.
As of early April 2024, Juventus sits in 3rd place in Serie A, actively competing to secure a top-four finish and Champions League qualification for next season. Their form has been inconsistent since the end of January, with a mix of draws and losses impacting their title challenge. Genoa is in 12th place, effectively safe from relegation but with minimal chance of qualifying for Europe, which may affect their motivational levels. In the most recent fixture before this match, Juventus drew 0-0 with Atalanta, while Genoa lost 2-1 to Frosinone. Juventus will be without suspended midfielder Adrien Rabiot for this match, a factor that prediction markets may have already adjusted for in midfield battle and possession-related propositions.
The match is scheduled for 12:00 PM Eastern Time (ET) on April 6. This corresponds to 6:00 PM Central European Time (CET) in Italy and 5:00 PM British Summer Time (BST) in the UK.
The match will be played at the Allianz Stadium in Turin, Italy. This is the home ground of Juventus FC, with a capacity of approximately 41,507 spectators.
Common markets beyond the match winner include Over/Under on total goals (e.g., 2.5 goals), Both Teams to Score, Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time result, Anytime Goalscorer, and Total Corners. Some books also offer player-specific props like shots on target.
Juventus has dominated recent meetings. In the first leg of the 2023-2024 season in December, Juventus won 1-0 away at Genoa. In the previous five Serie A encounters prior to this season, Juventus won four and drew one.
Barring a last-minute injury in training, Dusan Vlahovic is expected to start as Juventus's central striker. He has been a regular starter when fit throughout the 2023-2024 season.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
9 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 73% |
| Poly | 49% |
| Poly | 43% |
| Poly | 42% |
| Poly | 41% |
| Poly | 27% |
| Poly | 21% |
| Poly | 13% |
| Poly | 12% |
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