
Badai Maksym vs. Kasyanov Artem
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Badai Maksym vs. Kasyanov Artem

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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume ยท provider units
5
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Badai Maksym and Kasyanov Artem in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 23 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Badai Maksym' if Badai Maksym wins against Kasyanov Artem. This market will resolve to 'Kasyanov Artem' if Kasyanov Artem wins against Badai Maksym. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event covers the table tennis match between Badai Maksym and Kasyanov Artem in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, which the source describes as "scheduled for October 23 at 12:30PM ET" [1]. The main match contract resolves to the named player who wins. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, it resolves to 50-50. A walkover also resolves to 50-50 [1].
The excerpt lists the contract's end time as 2026-10-30T16:30:00.000Z [1]. That is a closing time in the contract, not a confirmation of when the match will be played. The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers," with a fallback to "a consensus of credible reporting" if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-23T04:26:33.186Z [1]. These prices describe those moments only and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The saved markets are:
- Match winner: Badai Maksym 0.71, Kasyanov Artem 0.29 [1].
- Total games over/under 3.5: Over 0.50, Under 0.50 [1].
- Total games over/under 4.5: Over 0.50, Under 0.50 [1].
- Game handicap, Badai Maksym (-1.5): Badai Maksym 0.50, Kasyanov Artem 0.50 [1].
- Game handicap, Kasyanov Artem (-1.5): Kasyanov Artem 0.50, Badai Maksym 0.50 [1].
All five markets come from one provider event, and the coverage record shows 5 of 5 included with no partial sample [1]. The totals and handicap markets are not outcomes of the winner market, so their prices should not be read against it. The excerpt does not state how games are counted for these totals or handicaps, so the wording of those rules cannot be interpreted from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The source notes that the saved markets "do not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The excerpt contains no volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so this snapshot cannot indicate depth or how many participants hold each view. It also does not explain why any price is where it is. Because only one platform appears here, no cross-platform comparison is possible, and differing prices between contracts with different wording should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Badai Maksym vs. Kasyanov Artem. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract concerns a single table tennis match between Badai Maksym and Kasyanov Artem in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event, scheduled for October 23 at 12:30 PM ET [1]. The market states that it will resolve to 'Badai Maksym' if Badai Maksym wins, and to 'Kasyanov Artem' if Kasyanov Artem wins [1]. The listed end time for the market is 2026-10-30 16:30 UTC [1], which is later than the scheduled match time, so the end date should be read as a closing or resolution window rather than the date of play. The contract includes several special cases. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers [1]. If those final statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The source does not specify how that consensus would be determined beyond this wording, so the practical resolution path depends on when official statistics appear. The saved event also includes related markets on total games (over or under 3.5 and 4.5) and game handicaps for each player at plus or minus 1.5 games [1]. These are separate contracts with their own outcomes, and the rules provided here describe only the match winner terms in detail.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of the two named players wins the scheduled match, with specific rules for cancellations, ties, delays, withdrawals, and early endings [1]. Because the outcome depends on official statistics or, in their absence, consensus reporting, the contract's value depends on how cleanly the match is documented [1]. The total games and handicap markets in the same event measure different aspects of the match, so their outcomes are not interchangeable with the winner contract [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled and not played at all, or if it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if one player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What source determines the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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