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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Badai Maksym vs. Chuhai Serhii

Badai Maksym vs. Chuhai Serhii
Vol

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Events

1

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Markets

5

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

5

Saved contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Badai Maksym and Chuhai Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 23 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Badai Maksym' if Badai Maksym wins against Chuhai Serhii. This market will resolve to 'Chuhai Serhii' if Chuhai Serhii wins against Badai Maksym. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers five Polymarket contracts tied to one table tennis match, Badai Maksym vs. Chuhai Serhii, in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The event page states that the match was "scheduled for October 23 at 9:00AM ET" [1]. The main winner contract resolves to the named player who wins. Its wording also sets fallback rules: "If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50" [1]. A walkover also resolves 50-50, and if a match begins but a player advances due to retirement, default, or disqualification, the contract resolves to the player who advances [1].

The other contracts are separate questions. Two are total games over/under lines at 3.5 and 4.5, and two are game handicap contracts. The two handicap contracts are worded from opposite sides, one for Badai Maksym (-1.5) and one for Chuhai Serhii (-1.5), so they should be read as distinct contracts rather than duplicates [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-23T02:08:08.673Z [1]. The prices below describe that observed moment only and are not live quotes:

  • Badai Maksym to win: 0.69
  • Chuhai Serhii to win: 0.31
  • Total games over/under 3.5: Over 0.50, Under 0.50
  • Total games over/under 4.5: Over 0.50, Under 0.50
  • Game handicap, Badai Maksym (-1.5): 0.50
  • Game handicap, Chuhai Serhii (-1.5): 0.50

These are quoted prices in a single provider snapshot. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The winner contract shows a higher price for Badai Maksym in this snapshot. The totals and handicap contracts show equal prices for their two sides, so they should not be read as a forecast of game counts.

The listed end time for all five contracts is 2026-10-30T13:00:00.000Z [1]. That is a listed close time for the contracts, not the date of the match, which the source gives as October 23.

What remains uncertain

The sample includes all five saved markets for this provider event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. The sample warning still notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. No other platforms are included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.

The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, number of traders, or any explanation of why prices are where they are. It also does not report the match result or any post-snapshot events. The resolution source is the "official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers," with a fallback to "a consensus of credible reporting" if final statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion [1].

References

  1. Polymarket: Badai Maksym vs. Chuhai Serhii. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTC

Overview

This contract is a Polymarket event for a table tennis match between Badai Maksym and Chuhai Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men [1]. The event page says the match was scheduled for October 23 at 9:00AM ET [1]. That is a scheduled time from the contract rules, not a confirmation that the match took place at that time. The main market resolves to Badai Maksym if he wins the match and to Chuhai Serhii if Chuhai Serhii wins [1]. The rules set out several special cases. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match starts but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers [1]. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used instead [1]. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-10-30T13:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time under its rules. It does not show when the match was played or when the result was determined. The saved event includes five markets: the match winner, two total games over or under lines at 3.5 and 4.5, and two game handicap markets, one for each player [1]. The saved sample includes all five markets recorded for this event. Those markets are not a full list of every possible outcome. Prices in the sample are snapshots at the time they were recorded, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and volume is not a measure of liquidity or the number of traders.

Why It Matters

The contract measures the outcome of one scheduled table tennis match. Its main market pays out based on which named player wins the match, and its rules define what happens in cancellations, walkovers, and incomplete matches [1]. The additional markets in the saved event relate to total games and game handicaps for the same match [1]. Because the rules tie resolution to official event statistics, with a fallback to consensus reporting, the result depends on how the match is recorded after it ends [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What happens if the match is canceled or not played?

If the match is canceled, not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1].

What happens if one player retires during the match?

If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

What source is used to determine the result?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].

What happens if a player withdraws before the match starts?

A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, resolves the market 50-50 [1].

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Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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