Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

Name: M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca
End: 2026-10-20T09:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.05

Events

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M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

Vol

$6.05

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.05

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.05

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca	Poly	63%
Set Handicap: Alvaro Peiro Serrano (-1.5) vs Giovanni Ciocca (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Giovanni Ciocca (-1.5) vs Alvaro Peiro Serrano (+1.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$6.05

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Giovanni Ciocca in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Peiro Serrano' if Alvaro Peiro Serrano advances against Giovanni Ciocca. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Ciocca' if Giovanni Ciocca advances against Alvaro Peiro Serrano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Giovanni Ciocca in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Peiro Serrano' if Alvaro Peiro Serrano advances against Giovanni Ciocca.

This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Ciocca' if Giovanni Ciocca advances against Alvaro Peiro Serrano.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Giovanni Ciocca in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Peiro Serrano' if Alvaro Peiro Serrano advances against Giovanni Ciocca.

This market "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Alvaro Peiro Serrano: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [Giovanni Ciocca: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Alvaro Peiro Serrano (-1.5) vs Giovanni Ciocca (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Alvaro Peiro Serrano: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Giovanni Ciocca: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Giovanni Ciocca (-1.5) vs Alvaro Peiro Serrano (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Giovanni Ciocca: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Alvaro Peiro Serrano: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

Volume$6.05

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POLYMARKET

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Alvaro Peiro Serrano (-1.5) vs Giovanni Ciocca (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Alvaro Peiro Serrano (-1.5) vs Giovanni Ciocca (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Giovanni Ciocca in the M15 Monastir, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alvaro Peiro Serrano" if Alvaro Peiro Serrano wins by 2 or more sets than Giovanni Ciocca, based on the fi

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Giovanni Ciocca (-1.5) vs Alvaro Peiro Serrano (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Giovanni Ciocca (-1.5) vs Alvaro Peiro Serrano (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Ciocca and Alvaro Peiro Serrano in the M15 Monastir, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Giovanni Ciocca" if Giovanni Ciocca wins by 2 or more sets than Alvaro Peiro Serrano, based on the final c

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Oct 20, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

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Average Yes Price

54¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/InmxWJ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca"></iframe>

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M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

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M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

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Events (1)

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

Markets (3)

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

Set Handicap: Alvaro Peiro Serrano (-1.5) vs Giovanni Ciocca (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Alvaro Peiro Serrano (-1.5) vs Giovanni Ciocca (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Giovanni Ciocca (-1.5) vs Alvaro Peiro Serrano (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Giovanni Ciocca (-1.5) vs Alvaro Peiro Serrano (+1.5)

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M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

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M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

M15 Monastir: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca

Set Handicap: Alvaro Peiro Serrano (-1.5) vs Giovanni Ciocca (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Alvaro Peiro Serrano (-1.5) vs Giovanni Ciocca (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Giovanni Ciocca (-1.5) vs Alvaro Peiro Serrano (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Giovanni Ciocca (-1.5) vs Alvaro Peiro Serrano (+1.5)

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