Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket event titled "Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET" [1]. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The stated resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T13:15:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time, not a confirmed resolution time. The evidence does not show how or when the result was determined.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-26T18:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-26T19:34:59Z [1]. These times describe the saved record only. They do not show the prices at the moment you read this.
At the observation time, the saved prices were 0.505 for "Up" and 0.495 for "Down" [1]. Because these are snapshots, they are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The record does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each view.
The sample covers one market with two outcomes. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The saved selection rule and sample warning apply here: all saved markets for this event are included, but that does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1]. Because this is a single event, no cross-platform comparison is made.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot is older than the retrieval time, and the record does not show the current price. The reason for the small gap between the two outcomes is not stated in the evidence, and this analysis does not explain it. A contract on another platform or another time window with different wording should not be treated as an equivalent measure, even if the asset is the same. Any apparent difference in prices across contracts is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity, because settlement terms, closing times, and data sources may differ.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term Solana price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET" [1]. The contract is in the Crypto category and has two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. It asks whether Solana's price over a fifteen-minute window will move up or down relative to where that window began. The source records the provider status as active and gives a listed end time of 2026-10-27T13:15:00.000Z [1]. The market is narrow in scope. Its title identifies the window as 9:00AM to 9:15AM ET on October 27, and the listed end time marks when the contract closes in the provider's data [1]. Readers should keep those dates separate from the time the contract is actually settled, which the source does not describe beyond the resolution rule below [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Solana's price over one fifteen-minute window, not its level at a fixed moment. According to the supplied rule, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the measure is an average across the window, a brief spike or dip at one moment does not by itself determine the outcome under this rule [1]. The rule also fixes the data source. The source states that the market concerns the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a price on another exchange or data feed would therefore be looking at a different reference. The price of a contract on the platform is a market price for these two outcomes and is not, on its own, a verified probability of either result.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the "Up" outcome require?
Under the stated rule, "Up" applies if the time-weighted average price of Solana over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window [1].
Which price data determines the result?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The source says other sources and spot markets are not the reference for this contract [1].
Why is the result based on an average rather than a closing price?
The market uses a time-weighted average price across the stated time range, so the comparison is made against an average over the window rather than a single price point [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.