Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Name: Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
End: 2028-04-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Vol

$6.47K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.47K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.47K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	9%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	9%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	9%
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	7%
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	7%
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	7%
Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	7%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	7%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	6%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	4%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$6.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 1, 2028 (537 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner.

If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recip"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $273.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $240
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $426
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $282
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $290
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $625
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $140
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2028): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld