YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
K 0 contracts
1
15
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
K 0 contracts
1
15
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is गुज़ारिश at 48.5%.
Kalshi
- गुज़ारिश48.5%
- 체포하겠어48.5%
- Пешта48.5%
- Training Season48.5%
- Tarantino48.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
15
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026 If X is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by YouTube. Any references to YouTube or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T15:00:06.762Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event [1] asks whether a named artist ranks first on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart for the week of October 30 to November 5, 2026. Each market in this snapshot applies that rule to a different artist or track. According to the source, "If X is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Oct 30 - Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." The rule describes the chart week, so readers should check the chart week named in each contract rather than assuming a general ranking.
The source also states that the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs," and that its "Listed end time: not supplied." The market data contains an endDate of November 5, 2027, but the supplied source does not confirm that this is the listed closing or resolution time for the chart week. This snapshot therefore does not establish when the contracts close or resolve.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 15:00:06 UTC on November 2, 2026, and the source was retrieved at 15:22:56 UTC the same day. These are snapshot prices from that time, not current or executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
In this sample, every included market lists a Yes price of 0.475 and a No price of 0.525. The prices are identical, so the snapshot gives no basis for ranking these artists against one another. The shared values also do not show how traders view any individual artist.
The coverage record reports 15 total markets for this event and 12 included. The sample is partial, and the three omitted markets are not shown here. Their prices cannot be inferred from the included ones, and this snapshot should not be read as the complete field. The selection rule ordered markets by Yes price, then volume, but the included rows share the same Yes price, so the rule does not explain which markets were chosen.
Volume is not included in this excerpt, so it cannot indicate liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why prices are at these levels, how many people hold each view, or how the chart will actually rank these songs. It also does not confirm the listed closing time or the final resolution date. Readers should check the provider's current contract rules and any later snapshot before drawing conclusions.
References
- Kalshi: YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T15:00:06.762Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event tied to YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart for the week dated Oct 30 - Nov 5, 2026. Under the contract rules, a market resolves to Yes if the named song is ranked #1 on that chart for that date range [1]. The event is described as active, and the rules say it will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The rules also state that the market and its products have not been endorsed by YouTube, and that references to YouTube are descriptive only [1]. Each market in this event asks about one specific song or track title. The saved market list includes several different titles, and each one poses the same question: whether that title will hold the top position on the chart for the stated week [1]. Because the markets share one provider event, they are alternative answers to a single chart question. Only one title can hold the #1 position for a given chart, so the Yes outcomes are mutually exclusive in practice, although the contract text itself is written market by market [1]. The saved price data is a snapshot taken when the provider was observed, not a live quote. The displayed Yes and No prices are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The price of a contract reflects the market's state at that observation time only.
Historical Context
Two songs named in the supplied background sources have release histories that may help readers place recent chart activity in context. "Stupid Song" is described as the third single from Olivia Rodrigo's third studio album, with a music video released alongside the album on June 12, 2026, and serviced to radio stations on July 13 [2]. "Internet Girl" was released as a standalone single on January 2, 2026 [3]. These dates describe past releases only. The supplied sources do not establish how either song performed on the YouTube chart for the week covered by this event.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which song holds the number one position on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart for the week dated Oct 30 - Nov 5, 2026 [1]. Its resolution depends on that published chart result, not on general popularity, sales, or news coverage. Traders and readers can use the market prices as a record of how participants valued each outcome at the observation time, but the price is a snapshot and not a forecast. Volume figures are not a measure of liquidity or the number of traders, and differing prices across markets in the same event do not on their own indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require under this contract?
A market resolves to Yes if the named song is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Oct 30 - Nov 5, 2026 [1].
Is this event endorsed by YouTube?
The contract rules state that the market and its products have not been endorsed by YouTube, and that references to YouTube or its marks are descriptive only and do not indicate affiliation [1].
Does the price shown equal the chance that a song will reach number one?
No. The displayed prices are snapshots from a provider observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. They reflect market prices at one moment and should not be treated as a forecast.
Does the saved market list include every possible song on the chart?
No. The saved event includes 12 of 15 markets, so it is a partial sample of the provider event. Rankings or prices for omitted markets are not shown, and the sample should not be treated as the complete field [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
