YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
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15
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
K 0 contracts
1
15
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage) at 48.5%.
Kalshi
- WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage)48.5%
- What You Need48.5%
- Thriller48.5%
- Thin Ice48.5%
- Tarantino48.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
15
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026 If X is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs United States Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by YouTube. Any references to YouTube or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-07T12:00:06.749Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Kalshi event covers YouTube's Weekly Top Songs United States Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026 [1]. Each market asks whether one named song ranks first on that chart. The source states: "If X is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs United States Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The excerpt also says the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The included markets share this wording and differ only by song name, so they are structurally similar, but each is a separate yes or no contract.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-07T12:00:06.749Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-07T20:08:19.310Z [1]. These figures are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In the included sample, every market shows a Yes price of 0.485 and a No price of 0.515 [1]. Each pair sums to 1.00. Because the prices are identical, this snapshot does not distinguish the included songs, and the saved record does not explain why the figures match.
The event contains 15 markets, and this sample includes 12 [1]. Markets were selected by Yes price, then volume, so the three omitted markets cannot be compared on price from this record. Their prices are unknown, and nothing here suggests they are lower. Volume is not supplied in this excerpt, and volume would not measure liquidity or the number of traders in any case.
End-time fields need care. The provider's market endDate is 2027-11-12T15:00:00.000Z [1], but this is a provider field, not a confirmed resolution date. The source also states "Listed end time: not supplied." [1] The chart period in the title is a contract rule, not an announced publication date.
What remains uncertain
The saved record does not show the final chart, the resolution outcome, or any price after the observation time. Because the snapshot dates from 2026-11-07, it cannot describe current conditions. No other platform is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Differences in prices between songs should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity based on this snapshot alone.
References
- Kalshi: YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA. Provider data observed 2026-11-07T12:00:06.749Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 7, 2026 UTCOverview
This Kalshi event, titled "YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA", is a prediction market tied to the number one position on YouTube's weekly songs chart for the United States. The rules state that "If X is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs United States Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each market in the event asks whether a specific song or artist will hold that top spot for the chart week dated November 6 to 12, 2026 [1]. The event is categorized under entertainment, and the rules note that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The rules also state that the market is not endorsed by YouTube and that references to YouTube are descriptive only [1]. The contract therefore measures a single chart outcome for one defined week, not a broader measure of popularity across the year. The event's provider status was recorded as active, and the listed end time was not supplied in the source material [1]. The market records do show an end date field of November 12, 2027, but the rules tie the question to the chart dated November 6 to 12, 2026. The end date field should not be read as the date of the chart or the date a result is announced.
Why It Matters
The contract measures one outcome: whether a given song is ranked first on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs United States Chart for the week dated November 6 to 12, 2026 [1]. Because each market in the sample is a separate yes or no question about a different song, the prices describe how the market values each individual outcome rather than a ranking of the songs against one another. The sample shown in the application includes twelve of fifteen markets from this provider event [1]. The markets listed are the ones included in the saved sample, and the selection method ranks by price and then volume [1]. Readers should therefore treat the list as a partial view of the event. The displayed prices are snapshots, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-07 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a market in this event to resolve to Yes?
The named song or artist must be ranked number one on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs United States Chart dated November 6 to 12, 2026 [1]. The rules specify that resolution to Yes follows from that chart ranking [1].
Does the chart date in the rules match the end date shown in the market data?
The rules define the question by the chart dated November 6 to 12, 2026 [1]. The market data lists an end date in 2027, but the source material does not explain that field further, so it should not be read as the chart date or an announced result date [1].
Is the event endorsed by YouTube?
No. The rules state that the market and its products have not been endorsed by YouTube, and that any references to YouTube or its marks are descriptive only and do not indicate affiliation [1].
Do the prices in the sample show which song is most likely to rank first?
Not from this sample alone. The sample reports identical Yes prices of 0.485 and No prices of 0.515 across the twelve included markets [1]. These are price snapshots from the provider and do not establish verified probabilities or indicate a ranking among the songs.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
