Name: Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC
End: 2026-01-20T19:45:00.000Z

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Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC | PredictPedia

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Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-20?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-20?	Poly	39%
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?	Poly	32%
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-20?	Poly	31%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 20, 2026 (6 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, January 20, 2026 between Charlton Athletic FC and Derby County FC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 20, 2026
If Charlton Athletic FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-20?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-20?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

5d 9h remaining

Jan 20, 2026 7:45 PM

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC

Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC

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Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-20?

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Events (1)

Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC

Markets (3)

Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-20?

Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-20?

Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?

Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-20?

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-20?

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Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-20?

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Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC

Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-20?

Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-20?

Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?

Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-20?

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-20?

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