GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Name: How high will inflation get in 2026?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.41M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Vol

$1.41M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.41M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.41M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Poly	12%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Poly	8%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Poly	4%
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?	Poly	4%
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

12%

Top Probability

$1.41M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How high will inflation get in 2026?
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution sour"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $661.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $47.7K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 13.86)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $178.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $314.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $66.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $42.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $58.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy