Name: UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-03-01T04:59:59.999Z

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UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card) | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	100%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	100%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	100%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	100%
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)	Poly	0%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	0%
Will Felipe Bunes win by KO or TKO?	Poly	0%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	0%
Will Édgar Cháirez win by KO or TKO?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 1, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 1, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Bunes" if Felipe Bunes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Édgar Cháirez at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Cháirez" if Édgar Cháirez is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official inf

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Bunes" if Felipe Bunes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Édgar Cháirez at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Cháirez" if Édgar Cháirez is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declar"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $620.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.52M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2026): Vol $613.2K
  DATA: [Bunes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Cháirez: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2026): Vol $276
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2026): Vol $265
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Felipe Bunes win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2026): Vol $655
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2026): Vol $541
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Édgar Cháirez win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2026): Vol $538
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Average Yes Price

44¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/J4dMDC" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)

Markets (9)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will Felipe Bunes win by KO or TKO?

Will Felipe Bunes win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Édgar Cháirez win by KO or TKO?

Will Édgar Cháirez win by KO or TKO?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will Felipe Bunes win by KO or TKO?

Will Felipe Bunes win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Édgar Cháirez win by KO or TKO?

Will Édgar Cháirez win by KO or TKO?

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Discussion

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