Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Next Serbian presidential election winner?

Total Volume

$5.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Next Serbian presidential election winner?

Vol

$5.40K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.40K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.40K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?	Kalshi	52%
Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?	Kalshi	47%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$5.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

in 2026 If X candidate wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. SNS-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed by the Serbian Progressive Party, SNS, before the Republic Electoral Commission's candidate-nomination deadline for the first round. Student-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed, before that deadline, by the proposer of the student-designated electoral list in the October 25, 20

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Serbian presidential election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in 2026

If X candidate wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. SNS-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed by the Serbian Progressive Party, SNS, before the Republic Electoral Commission's candidate-nomination deadline for the first round. Student-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed, before that deadline, by the proposer of the student-designated electoral list in the October 25, 20

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Student-backed candidate wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: SNS-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) before the Republic Electoral Commission's candidate-nomin"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 27, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 27, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Next Serbian presidential election winner?

Volume$5.40K

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

If SNS-backed candidate wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: SNS-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) before the Republic Electoral Commission's candidate-nominatio

KALSHI

Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.0¢No 53.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

If Student-backed candidate wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: SNS-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) before the Republic Electoral Commission's candidate-nomin

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/J8HNeM" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Next Serbian presidential election winner?"></iframe>

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Next Serbian presidential election winner?

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Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

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Events (1)

Next Serbian presidential election winner?

Markets (2)

Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

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Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

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Next Serbian presidential election winner?

Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?

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