GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Name: Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$369.75K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Vol

$369.75K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $369.75K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $369.75K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Poly	41%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

Top Probability

$369.75K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a plea agreement

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (117 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this case ends due to a plea agreement 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homic"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $369.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $14.8K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 25.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $369.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics