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Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

Name: Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
End: 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$36.98K

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Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

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Polymarket

markets · $36.98K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $36.98K

100%

Polymarket leads

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1 market tracked

Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?	Poly	14%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 1, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (306 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins), using the “Stablecoin Supply by Currency” chart. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.

A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.

If the res

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins), using the “Stablecoin Supply by Currency” "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.9K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.30)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $37.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

305d 13h remaining

Jan 01, 2027 5:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

14¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JBp1cu" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?"></iframe>

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Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

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Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

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Events (1)