Snapshot observed 2026-10-13T00:00:05.902Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The contract asks whether Revolut will launch a USD-pegged stablecoin in 2026. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Yes" if Revolut launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"." [1] The rules add that the stablecoin "must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify." [1] The stated primary resolution source is information from Revolut, with "a consensus of credible reporting" also used. [1]

The listed end time in the provider record is 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. [1] That timestamp and the rule's wording of 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 describe the same deadline window, but a reader should rely on the rule text for what qualifies and treat the listed end time as the provider's recorded close.

Reading the snapshot

The saved market was observed at 2026-10-13T00:00:05.902Z and retrieved at 2026-10-13T01:53:36.174Z. [1] The quoted prices are Yes at 0.285 and No at 0.715. [1] These sum to 1.00, so the two outcomes read as complementary within this single snapshot.

These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They show what the provider reported at the observation time and do not indicate the price available to a trader at any other moment. The sample covers one market for this event, and the coverage record marks it as complete for the saved event (one total market, one included, not partial). [1] The source notes that all saved markets for these events are included, but that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome." [1]

No comparison with other platforms is available in this evidence, so no cross-platform conclusions can be drawn.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the Yes price stands at 0.285, and it contains no recent news about Revolut's stablecoin plans. Volume is not included in the saved market summary, so no inference about liquidity or the number of participants is possible. The evidence also does not establish whether any Revolut stablecoin will meet the "actively transferrable and/or tradable" requirement before the close. Readers should check the rules and the current provider page for any later changes.

References

1. Polymarket: Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?. Provider data observed 2026-10-13T00:00:05.902Z.