Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Name: Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha
End: 2026-10-19T10:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$119.45

Events

Markets

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Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Vol

$119.45

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $119.45

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $119.45

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha	Poly	83%
Set 1 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha	Poly	76%
Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	65%
Set Handicap: Pol Martin Tiffon (-1.5) vs Francisco Rocha (+1.5)	Poly	61%
Maia: Completed Match: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha	Poly	52%
Set 2 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha	Poly	50%
Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Game Spread: Pol Martin Tiffon (-5.5) vs Francisco Rocha (+5.5)	Poly	46%
Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	43%
Tiffon vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	41%
Tiffon vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	33%
Tiffon vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	30%
Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Francisco Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	29%
Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$119.45

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Pol Martin Tiffon and Francisco Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pol Martin Tiffon' if Pol Martin Tiffon advances against Francisco Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Rocha' if Francisco Rocha advances against Pol Martin Tiffon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Pol Martin Tiffon and Francisco Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Pol Martin Tiffon' if Pol Martin Tiffon advances against Francisco Rocha.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Rocha' if Francisco Rocha advances against Pol Martin Tiffon.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Pol Martin Tiffon and Francisco Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Pol Martin Tiffon' if Pol Martin Tiffon advances against Francisco Rocha.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Ro"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $119
* **Total Liquidity:** $42.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $119
  DATA: [Pol Martin Tiffon: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [Francisco Rocha: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Maia: Completed Match: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Pol Martin Tiffon: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [Francisco Rocha: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Pol Martin Tiffon: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Francisco Rocha: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Francisco Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Tiffon vs. Rocha: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Tiffon vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Tiffon vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Tiffon vs. Rocha: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Pol Martin Tiffon (-1.5) vs Francisco Rocha (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Pol Martin Tiffon: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [Francisco Rocha: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Pol Martin Tiffon (-5.5) vs Francisco Rocha (+5.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Pol Martin Tiffon: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [Francisco Rocha: 54.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Volume$119.45

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Maia: Completed Match: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Maia: Completed Match: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

POLYMARKET

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

POLYMARKET

Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Francisco Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Francisco Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Pol Martin Tiffon and Francisco Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" ot

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Oct 19, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JEqE3R" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha"></iframe>

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Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

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Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Markets (16)

Maia: Completed Match: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Maia: Completed Match: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Set 1 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Set 1 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Set 2 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Set 2 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Francisco Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Francisco Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

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Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Maia: Completed Match: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Maia: Completed Match: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Maia: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Set 1 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Set 1 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Set 2 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Set 2 Winner: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha

Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Francisco Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Francisco Rocha: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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