Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

Total Volume

$39.74K

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New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

Vol

$39.74K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $39.74K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $39.74K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?	Kalshi	98%
Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.8 million?	Kalshi	97%
Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.9 million?	Kalshi	91%
Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.0 million?	Kalshi	74%
Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.1 million?	Kalshi	32%
Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.2 million?	Kalshi	13%
Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.3 million?	Kalshi	5%
Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.4 million?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$39.74K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above X million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits total for New River Gorge NP & PRES, park code NERI, published by the National Park Service Visitor Use Statistics program. Preliminary current-year figures will not be used for final resolution. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above X million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits total for New River Gorge NP & PRES, park code NERI, published by the National Park Service Visitor Use Statistics program. Preliminary current-year figures will not be used for final resolution. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 

2.4 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits total for New River Gorge NP & PRES (park code NERI) published by the National Park Service Vis"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $39.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.4 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $874
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.8 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $14.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.9 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.3 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.2 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $929
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.1 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.0 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

Volume$39.74K

Markets8

8 of 8

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KALSHI

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?

If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 1.7 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits total for New River Gorge NP & PRES (park code NERI) published by the National Park Service Vis

KALSHI

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.8 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.8 million?

If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 1.8 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits total for New River Gorge NP & PRES (park code NERI) published by the National Park Service Vis

KALSHI

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.9 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.9 million?

If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 1.9 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits total for New River Gorge NP & PRES (park code NERI) published by the National Park Service Vis

KALSHI

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.0 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.0 million?

If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 2.0 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits total for New River Gorge NP & PRES (park code NERI) published by the National Park Service Vis

KALSHI

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.1 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.1 million?

If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 2.1 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits total for New River Gorge NP & PRES (park code NERI) published by the National Park Service Vis

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51¢

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Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?

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Events (1)

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

Markets (8)

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.8 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.8 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.9 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.9 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.0 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.0 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.1 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.1 million?

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Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.7 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.8 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.8 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.9 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 1.9 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.0 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.0 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.1 million?

Will New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 2.1 million?

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